1) Umno is caught up, both in an internal power struggle between
team A (led by PM) and B (led by Z) plus another “external crisis” to win over
the other BN parties especially those from Sarawak and Sabah to support the pro
Hudud bill (RUU 355). It does Not look likely to be passed through this
Parliamentary session (until 6 April).
2) Pas is also facing an internal power struggle (Hadi's position is getting weaker by the day) with many members feeling betrayed by Hadi's close relationship with PM and talks of Pas working together with Umno. Hadi's people (such as Nik Abduh) seem to be losing out in the current divisional elections. Grassroots sentiments in PAS and UMNO seem to be building up against and unfavourable to both presidents.
3) Rumours of Team B taking a stronger position might suggest why Nazri (seems to be an ally for now of team B by his recent attacks against Annuar Musa and Rahman Dahlan of Team A) is keen to having this public debate with Dr M on high profile issues such as 1MDB, which is likely to put more public pressure on PM. This is why that team A seems to be against this public debate.
4) One possible outcome on RUU 355 is for PM to quietly abandon it and let team B "carry the baby" and take the blame for the failure. Z of Team B had been tasked by Najib to promote it, even suggesting that the government would take over the bill.
5) Heard that “big mama” is now in charge of a strategic unit to “take out or neutralize” team B and IG, who is thought to be with team B now.
6) It would only be a matter of time before the power struggle in Umno leads to an open warfare and it is doubtful that the next GE would be held this year.
7) The decision by China to impose controls on the outflow of funds for the China purchasers of Country Garden project in Johor, is complicating matters and would adversely affect the power struggle in Johor between PM and MB there, who may be backed by the S there.
8) If RUU 355 is debated and does not get passed, then PM and Hadi in big trouble. If it is quietly dropped or not brought up for first reading for this Parliamentary session, which is most likely the case, then PM can save face and blame Z and others for it but Hadi may be in trouble and may not survive a leadership challenge in Pas.
9) S of Perak’s recent statement about the independence of judges seems to suggest that the judiciary should not be subservient to the executive (PM) and must be prepared to stand up against political interference. Could be another sign that the rulers might not be happy with what’s happening now.
10) Interesting times ahead, look out for further signs of the power struggle. For example, let’s see if team A is going to stop the public debate between Nazri and Dr M, now scheduled on 7 April at Dewan Karangkraf (Sinar Harian hq) in Shah Alam.
2) Pas is also facing an internal power struggle (Hadi's position is getting weaker by the day) with many members feeling betrayed by Hadi's close relationship with PM and talks of Pas working together with Umno. Hadi's people (such as Nik Abduh) seem to be losing out in the current divisional elections. Grassroots sentiments in PAS and UMNO seem to be building up against and unfavourable to both presidents.
3) Rumours of Team B taking a stronger position might suggest why Nazri (seems to be an ally for now of team B by his recent attacks against Annuar Musa and Rahman Dahlan of Team A) is keen to having this public debate with Dr M on high profile issues such as 1MDB, which is likely to put more public pressure on PM. This is why that team A seems to be against this public debate.
4) One possible outcome on RUU 355 is for PM to quietly abandon it and let team B "carry the baby" and take the blame for the failure. Z of Team B had been tasked by Najib to promote it, even suggesting that the government would take over the bill.
5) Heard that “big mama” is now in charge of a strategic unit to “take out or neutralize” team B and IG, who is thought to be with team B now.
6) It would only be a matter of time before the power struggle in Umno leads to an open warfare and it is doubtful that the next GE would be held this year.
7) The decision by China to impose controls on the outflow of funds for the China purchasers of Country Garden project in Johor, is complicating matters and would adversely affect the power struggle in Johor between PM and MB there, who may be backed by the S there.
8) If RUU 355 is debated and does not get passed, then PM and Hadi in big trouble. If it is quietly dropped or not brought up for first reading for this Parliamentary session, which is most likely the case, then PM can save face and blame Z and others for it but Hadi may be in trouble and may not survive a leadership challenge in Pas.
9) S of Perak’s recent statement about the independence of judges seems to suggest that the judiciary should not be subservient to the executive (PM) and must be prepared to stand up against political interference. Could be another sign that the rulers might not be happy with what’s happening now.
10) Interesting times ahead, look out for further signs of the power struggle. For example, let’s see if team A is going to stop the public debate between Nazri and Dr M, now scheduled on 7 April at Dewan Karangkraf (Sinar Harian hq) in Shah Alam.
M DIPECAT HJ ZAIDI B AHMAD
No comments:
Post a Comment