Malays - What they want for now and future - THE START

I will be exploring this message about " Malays - What they want for now and future " in a series of articles in the next few days. I cannot update my blog all the time as i have other commitments to take off and will update when time permits. Writing articles require research, critical thinking and feedback from the man of street as these issues are their issues and ultimately will be their Bread and butter issue.

Today is my first day on this blog and will try to put forward the issues affecting the common people.

Malaysia has most bloated civil service in the world

Malaysia has most bloated civil service in the world

 February 1, 2017

Second Finance Minister Johari Abdul Ghani admits salaries and pensions of civil servants are becoming a strain on the government

 

 

KUCHING: The Malaysian civil service is right at the top when it comes to the size of the civil service.

There is one civil servant for every 19.37 people in the country, according to Second Finance Minister Johari Abdul Ghani.

A Borneo Post report said the proportion of civil servants to the national population in other countries such as Singapore is 1 to 71.4 people; Indonesia 1:110; Korea 1:50, China 1:108, Japan 1:28, Russia 1:84 and the United Kingdom 1:118.

The bloated civil service of 1.6 million has caused government expenditure to rise yearly, The Borneo Post quoted Johari as having told the Chinese-language Oriental Daily.

Despite the fact that salaries and pensions to civil servants continue to soar, the government has no plans to reduce the number of civil servants, according to Johari.

 “One of the issues that we have to address is the ever-increasing government operating costs and expenses.

“For example, we have about 1.6 million civil servants, which is the world’s largest proportion of civil service,” Johari was quoted as having said.

“In 2003, the pay of public servants totalled RM22 billion, but it increased to RM74 billion by 2016. In 2003, the pension of civil servants was RM5.9 billion, and in 2016 the amount soared to RM19 billion,” he was quoted as saying.

Johari acknowledged that payments would continue to increase in future while the government’s revenues would gradually decline.

“In particular, revenues from the palm oil and natural gas industries, which generated profits of about RM65 billion in 2014, fell sharply to RM30 billion in 2016.

“We will not reduce our existing civil service. Instead, we should encourage civil servants to undertake more jobs in their respective departments to increase their productivity,” Johari was quoted as having told Oriental Daily.

Bernama reported last March that Minister in the Prime Minister’s Department Shahidan Kassim had told parliament that as at December 2014, the ethnic composition of the civil service was as follows: 78.8% Malays, Bumiputera Sabah (6.1%), Bumiputera Sarawak (4.8 %), Chinese (5.2 %), Indians (4.1 %), Other Bumiputera (0.3%) and Others (0.7%).

My comments in Blue

 

The Government universities graduates are unmarketable in the private sector due to lack of language, think skills and work ethics. The only employment avenue for the graduates is this government and GLC sector.

My prediction for GE14

My prediction for GE14

 

UMNO vote bank will be divided between UMNO Bersatu and PAS as all three are using race and religion to bait for decreasing conservative base in the Malay heartland and more Malays are becoming increasingly progressive and see economic stability and prosperity is their future and wellbeing of their future generations survival and wellbeing. Amanah presents that home which also safe Guards race and religion in a more pragmatic way which is more acceptable to Malaysia as a whole. PAS is going to lose Kelantan and will have a few state seats in Kedah and Terengganu and no presence in other states because the increase in seats won by PAS in GE12 and GE13 was with the help of non-Malays and these voters are not going to return to vote PAS in a million years. The PAS grassroots on the majority hold the present PAS leadership in contempt as they have done in actions and works all the opposite of the revered late TGNA and will vote with their feet for Amanah and support the opposition candidates where possible. The consider the present PAS leadership as traitors to TGNA legacy of universal love for all Humans as he have said it once too often that we are of one race and must love each other and live in peace

 

 

1. Perlis is going BN

 

2. Penang will have BN lose more state and Parliament seats

 

3. Kedah - PAS will lose the gains of GE12 and GE13 and Umno may win maximum 4 or 5 state seats and 2 parliament seats. Bersatu will win the seats lost by UMNO and DAP wins in urban Alor Setar and PKR retains its seats and Amanah wins all the seats lost by PAS. State government in Bersatu led government.

 

4. Perak - due to Umno infighting , UMNO is going to lose 10 state and 3 parliament seats to Bersatu and PAS will he wiped out totally as the non-Malays and PAS supports and progressive Malays will vote Amanah .DAP will increase their state and Parliament seat counts wiping MCA MIC and Gerakan from Perak as same as Penang. State government will be Amanah led government

 

5. Selangor - Total win out of PAS to Amanah. PKR will increase their state seat count by 2. Or 3 seats and Bersatu will win 4 or 5 state seats and BN Umno will be left with maximum 5 state seats and one parliament seat thanks to Jamal Yunos factor. MCA will be wiped out. State government will be led by PKR

 

6. FT Kuala Lumpur will be total route of BN and all Parliament seats will fall to opposition and the is because of City Hall not representing the majority who voted opposition and implementing only BN friendly policy when the KL voters have voted Opposition and have no representation as in City Hall

 

7. Negeri Sembilan - BN UMNO will win maximum 7 to 20 state seats and maximum 3 Parliament seats or less. Here interesting as DAP will put up Malay candidates for state seats in 3 or 5 state seats .DAP PLR will increase seat count. Amanah wins PAS seats and Bersatu wins seats lost. The Head of state is a pragmatic ruler and will be open to a MB of Malay heritage to be the First DAP MB in a state ruled by a Malay ruler

 

8. Malacca - Betsatu is going to win Big at the expense of UMNO and other opposition parties will increase the state seats. State government will be a Bersatu led state Government

 

9. Johor - will remain a BN led state government with drastically reduced state seats with a majority of 5 seats and BN will only win maximum 7 Parliament seats . There is unease of in Johor. Less analysis on this state is best for personal health but it may surprise all by having a state government led by Amanah. Do not want to write detail

Analysis but my hunch it is going to be an opposition led government

 

10. Pahang a lot of damaged done by logging which contribute to greater flooding in the Malay hinterland and also distribution of flood and welfare aid on political lines and cause Alor of unease in villages where some Do nothing have big houses cars money to spend and others hard working people who just make ends meet after toiling in the sun whole day. This is battlefield of honest people of the land who toil the land and the others who don't judge thing but are rich because of their political connections and Sapu the aid for the villager’s .MCA Gerakan and MIC totally wiped out. The development very unequal in this state. Unpopular state government. Do not want to spoil the surprise and it is going to be a very big surprise in the state

 

11. Terengganu - UMNO and PAS will doing battle royal and fighting for the ever decreasing conservative votes. Terengganu have been very hard hit by the falling oil prices and jobless among the general population and ever more youth entering the job market yearly. I have worked here for some time and know the local sentiments and they always never had much of a choice between UMNO and PAS and now thinks have changed with Amanah and Bersatu. PKR here is weak. The Malays here now have a real choice between living in dark ages or modern times with jobs and better facilities. The implementation of short sighted religious laws is increasingly striping away the youth’s freedom and they are getting restless being told what they can do and can do. State to watch as there is an Ahmad Said factor also. Bersatu will be a big winner expense of UMNO and Amanah will win some state seats from PAS and PKR wining a few seats DAP wining Kuala Terengganu to help Bersatu form the state seat

 

 

12. Kelantan is one political animal very hard to predict but they my analysis meetings Kelantan people in out and in state , they feel very betrayed by the present  PAS leaderships to TGNA legacy and here BN Umno will make inroads in PAS seats wining some and Amanah showing a stronger performance. Here PAS leadership will be punished very severely for trashing TGNA legacy. The state government will be UMNO led with majority of 2 to 4 seats

 

13. Sarawak - As no elections - the opposition will win between 8 to 14 Parliament seats with DAP between 5 to 8 and PKR 3 to 7 seats. Sarawak prefer BN state Government and with no state election constraints with Hudud encroaching to Sarawak, the voters will try to make their mark by voting opposition to change the federal government for the better

 

14. Sabah - no doubt what Berjaya did to USNO and what PBS did to Berjaya. Warisan is going to do to the same to BN UMNO in state and Parliament elections. There will be a lot of high profile defections from BN as Warisan will soon concluded seat allocations in secret with the BN political animals. Here no surprises as opposition will contribute between 14 to18 Parliament seats.

 

15. Putrajaya - civil servant will punish the fake Tengku big time

 

 

Federal government will be a Bersatu led government with possibly two third majority which will help to repeal unpopular laws. This elections will be elections to end elections of race and religion as a political slogan and a party policy tool to entice voters.

 

BN and UMNO will not survive after this election as courts and prisons will be busy

General elections GE14 Vote analysis - Sabah

 General elections GE14 Vote analysis - Sabah

 

In Sabah it always have been local politics and Like Berjaya and PBS , Warisan have nothing more to offer but in Sabah, the Sabahans love to see a Giant defeated by a underdog and it happen many times and will happen again. Yes it does not make sense to us but that is what is happening. In Sabah politics race and religion does not matter much

 

Sabahans always like to change the governing political parties and history is the judge and nothing going to stop this happening again.

 

Then again does Malaysian politics makes sense

 

This is least of BN's worries as BN have already wrote off Sabah and will be happy winning 12 seats out of the 22 seats up for election

 

The real battle royal will happen in UMNO as UMNO will be fighting UMNO.

 

It is difficult to change leadership thru party elections and leadership will be changed thru ballot box

 

Najib camp will let opposition win in Zahidi Hamidi group’s parliament seats and hence wiping the fraction off from government and same will be done against Najib led fraction.

 

This is team A and Team B political survival and between freedom and prison as the winning fraction will not be forgiving of the losing fraction. This infighting as per their calculations will only be lost of handful parliament seats but it is going to be more costly and more seats will be lost with independent candidate’s field against official candidates. The opposition candidate will have to only concentrate on its message of delivering election promises once in power and will have no need to do personal mud slings with the candidates as he will be too busy fighting his own kind

 

The postal votes of Police and other enforcements under Hamidi will be used against the official UMNO candidates of UMNO and Hisamuddin will use the Arm Forces postal votes against team B.

 

They will be blinded with hatred and will forget that the real enemy is the opposition.

 

The team which is more venerable will make a secret deal with Bersatu for help as most UMNO members are undeclared Bersatu members in the range of 60% in West Malaysia.

State by state analysis of Parliament seats and State / Federal issues which will influence voting patterns for GE14

State by state analysis of Parliament seats and state /federal issues which will influence voting patterns for GE14

 

Perlis – 3 parliament seats

Winnable seat for BN 1, 50/50 1 seat, Seat to lose 1 seat

Local Issues 1.  Jobs and business prospects. Due to religious constraints the tourist industry has not been developed as much as the tourist and resort industry across the border in Thailand. Phuket Satun , Krabi and other Thai towns have cash in on the Tourist dollars with building Resorts , hotels to cater to the increasing Russian , Indian and Chinese tourists and creating thousands of jobs in the  hospitality, food and building industry  with their liberal policies where else tourist do not prefer Perlis as too many restrictions. Perlis is famous for mango plantations and a feeder port for Pulau Langkawi. The youth in Perlis have to go outside the state to look for jobs. Perlis need loosening of religious regulations and enforcement to let the Hospitality industry to take root and develop and create jobs for the local youths. The Youths will sit up notice and vote for any political party which can develop the hospitality business Perlis as Perlis have beaches as good as or better than Thailand and Penang. The issue which will influence the youths is not Race and religion but creation of jobs as this job creating will feed and house them financially. As says is God will help you if you help yourself and will not feed you if you sit whole day with stretch arms looking for a windfall.

 

Perlis – 15 state seats

BN possible 6 seats to 9 seats and Opposition 6-8 seats. For a small state there are 4 ambitious UMNO will call the shots for 12 state sheets and they have their own favorites. This election is going to be very deciding as the four want to jockey positions and seats for their supporters. This will be BN worse enemy infighting. At least one Ex-MB will know that he will be hauling up in court if BN loses the national elections for sexual offences against the underage and fathering of kids outside marriage. He wants to be in a strong position and have as many as possible his supporters in state seats and grab at least 2 or 3 Parliament seats. This will give him leverage to negotiate if the Elections results in a hung parliament. He will try to get immunity for himself against the sexual charges which he will face. The other may gang up against him. Here the opposition need to be patient as UMNO will be doing the job for them to ensure BN loses the state or some seats in Parliament and state.

Kedah -15 Parliament seats

Winnable seats for BN 2, 50/50 1 seats, Seats to lose 12 seats

Kedah – 36 state seats

Winnable seats for BN 4, 50/50 1 seats, Seats to lose 31 seats

 

 

Kelantan – State 45 seats

Winnable seat for BN 8,  50/50 2 seat, Seat to lose 35 seat

 

For State elections of 45 seats the Bersatu – PAN – PKR team will wing at least 32 to 36 seats giving the group a mandate to change and repeal laws which hinder the development of Kelantan . PAS may wing 5 to 8 seats and BN-UMNO 8 to 10 seats.

 

Allah will only help if you help yourself. I think the force is with the Kelantan people this time around as the people have seen there is not different between BN and PAS. They all are self-serving and provide only lip service, that is to line their pockets only. Are there anymore PAS leaders in TGNA Caliber and live a life like him, a modest live. It is all about wealth for them. TGNA brought in professionals as he knows they can provide good governance and expertise to the government Oof Kelantan to uplift the lives of the Kelantan people. The PAS leaders saw this as a threat because the people will start questioning why PAS is not doing anything to develop Kelantan. The Professionals were discarded and the professionals than form PAN Amanah to carry out TGNA vision and empower the Kelantan people. PAS was using the UMNO tactic of keeping the people poor and stupid.

That is why things are going to be different now as religion itself cannot fill the people’s economic aspirations and fill their bellies. PAN is here to stay and BN=PAS are going to be hit big time like a speeding train for change. Go across the border into south Thailand and you can see the hypocrites enjoying themselves there. The people know all too well but for held back by their reverence for TGNA who was a pious and honest soul who only thought about his people first.

 

 

Kelantan – 14 Parliament seats

Winnable seats for BN 3, 50/50 2 seats, Seats to lose 9 seats

 Bersatu – PAN – PKR team will win 9 to 12 seats , PAS 2 to 3 seats and BN/UMNO 3 to 4 seats

 

Kelantan as I see it in GE 14

Kelantan as I see it in GE 14



Allah will only help if you help yourself. I think the force is with the Kelantan people this time around as the people have seen there is not different between BN and PAS. They all are self-serving and provide only lip service, that is to line their pockets only. Are there anymore PAS leaders in TGNA Caliber and live a life like him, a modest live. It is all about wealth for them. TGNA brought in professionals as he knows they can provide good governance and expertise to the government Kelantan to uplift the lives of the Kelantan people. The PAS leaders saw this as a threat because the people will start questioning why PAS is not doing anything to develop Kelantan. The Professionals were discarded and the professionals than form PAN Amanah to carry out TGNA vision and empower the Kelantan people. PAS was using the UMNO tactic of keeping the people poor and stupid.
That is why things are going to be different now as religion itself cannot fill the people’s economy aspirations and fill their bellies. PAN is here to stay and BN=PAS are going to be hit big time like a speeding train for change. Go across the border into south Thailand and you can see the hypocrites enjoying themselves there. The people know all too well but for held back by their reverence for TGNA who was a pious and honest soul who only thought about his people first.

For State elections of 45 seats the Bersatu – PAN – PKR team will wing at least 32 to 36 seats giving the group a mandate to change and repeal laws which hinder the development of Kelantan . PAS may wing 5 to 8 seats and BN-UMNO 8 to 10 seats.

For Parliament - Bersatu – PAN – PKR team will win 9 to 12 seats , PAS 2 to 3 seats and BN/UMNO 3 to 4 seats

The TGNA factor for PAS is no more and nobody in PAS have replaced him in the eyes of all Malaysians

TGNA did not take what was not his and  did not steal , indulge in corruption , lie , kill and harm anybody . He called the Muslims who lie cheat kill dishonest the corrupted and call them infidels . He has done no wrong and he did not blemish an honest Muslim. For him a Muslim must be an honest incorruptible unblemished and place all others above him . Can you name any who he wrongly accused