State by state analysis of Parliament seats and State / Federal issues which will influence voting patterns for GE14

State by state analysis of Parliament seats and state /federal issues which will influence voting patterns for GE14

 

Perlis – 3 parliament seats

Winnable seat for BN 1, 50/50 1 seat, Seat to lose 1 seat

Local Issues 1.  Jobs and business prospects. Due to religious constraints the tourist industry has not been developed as much as the tourist and resort industry across the border in Thailand. Phuket Satun , Krabi and other Thai towns have cash in on the Tourist dollars with building Resorts , hotels to cater to the increasing Russian , Indian and Chinese tourists and creating thousands of jobs in the  hospitality, food and building industry  with their liberal policies where else tourist do not prefer Perlis as too many restrictions. Perlis is famous for mango plantations and a feeder port for Pulau Langkawi. The youth in Perlis have to go outside the state to look for jobs. Perlis need loosening of religious regulations and enforcement to let the Hospitality industry to take root and develop and create jobs for the local youths. The Youths will sit up notice and vote for any political party which can develop the hospitality business Perlis as Perlis have beaches as good as or better than Thailand and Penang. The issue which will influence the youths is not Race and religion but creation of jobs as this job creating will feed and house them financially. As says is God will help you if you help yourself and will not feed you if you sit whole day with stretch arms looking for a windfall.

 

Perlis – 15 state seats

BN possible 6 seats to 9 seats and Opposition 6-8 seats. For a small state there are 4 ambitious UMNO will call the shots for 12 state sheets and they have their own favorites. This election is going to be very deciding as the four want to jockey positions and seats for their supporters. This will be BN worse enemy infighting. At least one Ex-MB will know that he will be hauling up in court if BN loses the national elections for sexual offences against the underage and fathering of kids outside marriage. He wants to be in a strong position and have as many as possible his supporters in state seats and grab at least 2 or 3 Parliament seats. This will give him leverage to negotiate if the Elections results in a hung parliament. He will try to get immunity for himself against the sexual charges which he will face. The other may gang up against him. Here the opposition need to be patient as UMNO will be doing the job for them to ensure BN loses the state or some seats in Parliament and state.

Kedah -15 Parliament seats

Winnable seats for BN 2, 50/50 1 seats, Seats to lose 12 seats

Kedah – 36 state seats

Winnable seats for BN 4, 50/50 1 seats, Seats to lose 31 seats

 

 

Kelantan – State 45 seats

Winnable seat for BN 8,  50/50 2 seat, Seat to lose 35 seat

 

For State elections of 45 seats the Bersatu – PAN – PKR team will wing at least 32 to 36 seats giving the group a mandate to change and repeal laws which hinder the development of Kelantan . PAS may wing 5 to 8 seats and BN-UMNO 8 to 10 seats.

 

Allah will only help if you help yourself. I think the force is with the Kelantan people this time around as the people have seen there is not different between BN and PAS. They all are self-serving and provide only lip service, that is to line their pockets only. Are there anymore PAS leaders in TGNA Caliber and live a life like him, a modest live. It is all about wealth for them. TGNA brought in professionals as he knows they can provide good governance and expertise to the government Oof Kelantan to uplift the lives of the Kelantan people. The PAS leaders saw this as a threat because the people will start questioning why PAS is not doing anything to develop Kelantan. The Professionals were discarded and the professionals than form PAN Amanah to carry out TGNA vision and empower the Kelantan people. PAS was using the UMNO tactic of keeping the people poor and stupid.

That is why things are going to be different now as religion itself cannot fill the people’s economic aspirations and fill their bellies. PAN is here to stay and BN=PAS are going to be hit big time like a speeding train for change. Go across the border into south Thailand and you can see the hypocrites enjoying themselves there. The people know all too well but for held back by their reverence for TGNA who was a pious and honest soul who only thought about his people first.

 

 

Kelantan – 14 Parliament seats

Winnable seats for BN 3, 50/50 2 seats, Seats to lose 9 seats

 Bersatu – PAN – PKR team will win 9 to 12 seats , PAS 2 to 3 seats and BN/UMNO 3 to 4 seats