Malaysian GE14 - BN-UMNO in the dog house

PRU – GE 14 elections in Malaysia

BN is at its weakest as the dominant party in BN- UMNO is struggling to rewind and reconnect with the Malay majority in the Malay rural areas. UMNO have given up on the Urban Malays as there are not many Malay majority urban seats to fight for as these seats have been won by the opposition election after election. The other non-Malay Parties in BN namely the MCA, MIC and Gerakan are on their last lap and expect to die of come PRU / GE 14 with a whimper.

UMNO have set their hearts to win the Semi-Urban and rural Malay Majority Parliament seats as these are their salvation and continuation of forming the government and ruling Malaysia. UMNO’s plans are a bit screwed as there is a monkey wrench (PAS) in their grandiose plans to win the elections.

PAS from a party for the Malay have-nots are now more of an extension of UMNO and the majority PAS members are not happy at their leaders for showing off their new found wealth and positions in flashy cars , houses , clothing’s and aloofness. The ordinary PAS members are quiet as they do not vent their displeasure openly but come to the ballot a surprise is in store for PAS and UMNO. They all loved TGNA who was loved and revered by all PAS ordinary members and also the non-Malays. The present leadership on death of TGNA have pushed themselves into UMNO’s orbit and against TGNA wishes.

Amanah / PriBumi / PKR must stand in all seats which PAS is contesting and will win the majority of PAS votes and also the non-Malays votes. PAS candidates will in the majority lose their election deposits. PAS will be from now onwards will be fighting for the same pool of voters UMNO are fighting for who have been voting UMNO election after election.

PH and Pribumi must not accommodate PAS and if they do them it is suicide, the Non-Malays and the progressive Malays and the PAS TGNA supporters will ditch the opposition. AS is not to be trusted and best let the Present PAS leadership commit Zina with UMNO or formally get married to UMNO

Keep an eye for Mahathir as after elections, he may ditch the Non-Malays and regroup the winning Malay candidates from UMNO, PAS, PKR, and Pribumi into a new political grouping at form the government with the help of Sarawak BN and Sabah Warrisan ( Sabah UMNO is dead after PRU – GE 14 ) He is not good in keeping his election promises to the Non-Malays

For the Non-Malays, why get involved in Malay political fight and be like the dog which had a bone in his mouth and drop that in the water when saw its own reflection in water and wanting that imaginary bone too.   Whoever wins is the Malays win and the Non-Malays are not going to get anything that has been always for the Malays like scholarships, government jobs, business opportunity and do not expect the Malays to be generous also.

DAP should watch out and do not get drunk with political power as the voters are masters and will show who is the master. Focus on the State governments and improve the deliveries of basic amenities when we stay like rubbish collection, clean water (in Selangor water supplied is full of sediments as the water filters turn brownish after a day of changing of the filters) Tarred roads, Forming neighborhoods security grouping as gated community is not practical in long run as it is only delaying and running away from the crime problems. The services delivered by local councils are more appreciated by the Non-Malays compared with National issues as these services are colour , religious and race blind. traffic need to get improved 100% as drivers are in a traffic grid lock once they leave their home , Subang Jaya is a good example of traffic mismanagement and also the Federal highway is always like a car park,

UMNO is now a shadow of them and their voters and members are split all the way. The diehard UMNO members who remain are the only ones who still get some financial assistance and UMNO can only take care of so many members only.

UMNO now commands only 55% of the Malay voters who voted BN in the previous elections. PAS have taken 10% of UMNO members and balance 35% now shared by Pribumi and PH. The fixed deposit in Sabah come this election is all lost. Sarawak BN will throw their support to whoever wins the most seats in the GE 14.

UMNO without Sabah BN-UMNO will more likely win 40 to 55 seats only and MCA, MIC, Gerakan a zero. . Need Sabah BN-UMNO to proform well (not likely) for Sarawak BN to support BN. Sarawak BN have an independent streak and will only support who ever gives Sarawak a good deal.

More later in the following days with state by state analysis