Oil Workers Seen as Target in New Phase of South Sudan's War
(Bloomberg) - Crude oil brings in the cash to
keep South Sudan’s army fighting. That may have made oil workers a target for
rebels waging the African nation’s three-year civil war.
The seizure of six workers, including three
foreigners, in the oil-rich north this month is the latest blow for authorities
trying to exploit sub-Saharan Africa’s third-biggest reserves. Insurgents, who
said they captured the two Indians and a Pakistani during fighting, described
such actions as a reminder to foreigners to stay away from oil-production zones.
South Sudan’s crude is mainly pumped by China National Petroleum Corp.,
Malaysia’s Petroliam Nasional Bhd. and Oil & Natural Gas Corp. of India.
While kidnappings previously occurred in
Sudan, it seems “this violent trend is now moving south as the opposition
strives to find ways to undermine the South Sudanese government,” said Luke
Patey, a researcher at the Danish Institute for International Studies. “Oil
remains the only tangible source of revenue for South Sudan’s government. Even
at reduced production levels, the government’s war efforts against opposition
forces depend on it.”
Companies that extract oil in Africa’s more
restive countries, including sub-Saharan Africa’s two biggest producers, have
seen employees become targets before. In Nigeria, militants in the Niger River
delta made fortunes in the 2000s ransoming foreign workers. Angola has also
seen spates of kidnapping.
Contracting Economy
Oil production in South Sudan, the world’s
youngest country, has plunged by at least a third to about 130,000 barrels a
day since conflict erupted in December 2013. The decline, combined with a drop
in prices, has devastated the economy, with annual inflation reaching almost
500 percent and gross domestic product forecast to shrink more than 10 percent
this year, according to the International Monetary Fund.
The war has claimed tens of thousands of
lives, with both government forces and rebels accused of atrocities. A famine,
described by the United Nations as man-made, has been declared in two northern
counties. The Paloch oilfield, the only one still operational, is in the far
northeast.
Rebels may “have decided to hit where it hurts
the most -- oil installations, assets and workers,” said James Alic Garang, a
senior economist at the Ebony Center for Strategic Studies in the South
Sudanese capital, Juba. “That is a wicked strategy on their part because it
goes a great length to harm the productive potential of the nation.”
The staff seized in March work for Dar
Petroleum Operating Co., whose biggest stakeholders are CNPC and Petronas. No
one at Dar’s office in Juba was available to comment. The communications
department said it would begin considering interview requests April 3.
Disruption Tactic
“The opposition is continuing a tactic of
disrupting and dissuading renewed engagement from oil companies in South
Sudan,” Patey, who researches the industry at the Copenhagen-based DIIS, said
by email.
Petroleum Minister Ezekiel Lul Gatkuoth said
plans to boost output won’t be affected and the government will provide “maximum”
safety. “The loopholes that made this happen have been filled,” he told
reporters March 21.
Representatives of the main rebel group, the
Sudan People’s Liberation Army in Opposition, or SPLA-IO, who are based outside
the country denied the group has a policy of kidnapping foreigners, even after
insurgents seized workers in areas where they said fighting occurred.
“The government is putting these people in
harm’s way knowing that it is untenable for them to work there,” Mabior Garang
Mabior, a rebel spokesman, said by phone from a location in Tanzania he
wouldn’t disclose. The SPLA-IO has warned “companies that they shouldn’t be
dealing with the government of South Sudan, that they shouldn’t be operating
there, and there is war,” he said.
Pakistan’s ambassador to four East African
countries including South Sudan, Asghar Ali Golo, and India’s top diplomat in
South Sudan, Srikumar Menon, both said by phone that representatives of the
International Committee of the Red Cross visited the three foreign workers in
captivity about a week ago.
Following Case
A Red Cross spokeswoman, Alyona Synenko, said
the organization is following up on the case but won’t comment further.
Presidential spokesman Ateny Wek Ateny said there was no further information on
the South Sudanese citizens who were seized.
The Pakistani national, Ayaz Hussain Jamali, was captured March
18 at Gumry oilfield by gunmen who “killed the South Sudanese guard,” Jamali’s
cousin, Zakir Bullo, said by phone from New York, citing information he said he
received from Dar Petroleum. Golo and Menon said so far they’ve only been in
contact with South Sudan’s government and that rebels haven’t made any ransom
demands.
The
insurgents will probably continue using “kidnapping as an operational tactic”
to forward their political agendas, said Nicole Elliott, special risks analyst
at red24, a crisis-management company in Johannesburg.
To
contact the reporters on this story: Okech Francis in Juba at
fokech@bloomberg.net ;Nizar Manek in Addis Ababa at nmanek2@bloomberg.net To
contact the editors responsible for this story: Antony Sguazzin at
asguazzin@bloomberg.net Michael Gunn, Paul Richardson
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